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For the want of a nailsworth, the shoe was lost
Posted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 12:26 pm
by Ancient Colin
A betting boot: bet £5 on one of the bets in (a) and £5 on one of the bets in (b). Person with highest end total wins.
(a) what is the full-time result:
a1 Ox win (5 to 4 on)
a2 Draw (5 to 2)
a3 Lose (3 to 1)
(b) pick one of the following:
b1 total goals two or less (evens)
b2 Ox win 1-0 (6 to 1)
b3 Ox win 2-1 (7 to 1)
b4 Ox win 3-0 (16 to 1)
b5 FG win 1-2 (10 to 1)
b6 Ox winning first half and win game (2 to 1)
b7 Ox winning first half, game drawn (13 to 1)
b8 First half drawing, Ox win game (3 to 1)
b9 First half drawing, FG win game (7 to 1)
TB: time of first goal: no repeats. If equidistant, earlier predicted time wins.
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It would be nice if everyone just formatted this (my entry):
a2
b1
27
Re: For the want of a nailsworth, the shoe was lost
Posted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 6:11 pm
by Boogie
a1
b6
10
Re: For the want of a nailsworth, the shoe was lost
Posted: Thu Nov 08, 2018 8:04 pm
by Radley Rambler
a2
b7
37
Re: For the want of a nailsworth, the shoe was lost
Posted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 6:35 pm
by Hog
a1
b8
18
Re: For the want of a nailsworth, the shoe was lost
Posted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 10:32 pm
by Old Abingdonian
a1
b6
TB: 34th
Re: For the want of a nailsworth, the shoe was lost
Posted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 11:39 pm
by Hoglette
a1
b6
48
Re: For the want of a nailsworth, the shoe was lost
Posted: Sat Nov 10, 2018 10:52 am
by Geoff
a1
b1
30
Re: For the want of a nailsworth, the shoe was lost
Posted: Sun Nov 11, 2018 9:23 am
by Ancient Colin
So this is why bookmakers make money and punters lose.
Everyone is -£10 except:
Geoff (nett break even),
Radley (nett plus £7.50) and
Me (nett plus £17.50)
(Bookie is up £16, 22% return on £70 turnover - I don't think I've ever run a betting boot where the bookie hasn't come out on top)
Sorry.
Re: For the want of a nailsworth, the shoe was lost
Posted: Mon Nov 12, 2018 9:12 am
by Radley Rambler
So what you're saying AC is that I should leave my job and become a professional gambler. For every £10 I invest, I'll get an extra £7.50 back - right?
I'll hand my notice in this morning.
Re: For the want of a nailsworth, the shoe was lost
Posted: Mon Nov 12, 2018 4:01 pm
by Ancient Colin
Or (I see it is now the afternoon and so this may be too late) that for every £1 you invest, you'll get £0.78 back. So it depends how long those retirement savings last! I remember being at a conference in Nevada watching market-efficiency espousing economists marching into a casino displaying over the door "By State law, we must inform you that we pay back $0.82 to the dollar".
Re: For the want of a nailsworth, the shoe was lost
Posted: Mon Nov 12, 2018 6:26 pm
by Radley Rambler
Argh - too late - I got caught in the moment - best brush up the CV then.
