Firstly I nthink you've misunderstood what I was saying. I wasn't suggesting that you get a rugby club in as a tenant what I was saying that a rugby club could BUY the stadium at effectively half the price that it would cost OUFC because they already have OUFC as a tenant and they don't care about what we do to the pitch."Mally" wrote:You wouldn't get 7% on this deal at current rates in my view, both because of the level of base rates and anticipated short to medium term expected rises in base rates, as well as the very high risk factor.
You might get 8%.
£13m @ 8% = £1.04m interest
Current interest = circa £8m @ 6.5% (from memory) = £520k
Additional cost of borrowing is therefore £520k
Plus existing losses varying between £250k and £500k. Again from memory, I recall that Firoka has had to report setting aside of £500k for to cover current year Stadco losses.
So that could reasonably be £1m a year additional income to find just to break even.
So even if you did manage to lure Premier egg chasers at £500k per year rent, and get around the connorbation rules governing Premier egg chasing, that still leaves big losses, a crap football surface and no contribution to the football club.
Sounds great!
As for the losses you quote for the stad co (from the '05 accounts as I haven't got the '06 at hand) these are losses AFTER interest payments. You can't include the interest payments twice.
Your last sentence is exactly what worries me - If Kassam gets fed up with waiting around for Lenagan to piss or get off the pot and finds a rugby club to buy the stadium then as you say:
"that still leaves big losses, a crap football surface and no contribution to the football club"
but this way it's forever![/quote]
I'm not including the interest payments twice, as I only took account of the increase in interest payments by borrowing an additional £5m. Therefore, it is the additional cost of borrowing, plus the cost of losses which need to be recovered, and the existing cost of borrowing isn't taken into account twice.
Likewise, I didn't (and don't) have the Stadco accounts to hand, so I apologise if any of the numbers are materially incorrect.
I agree completely that the club is in a very difficult position here. Kassam has the club by the short and curlies largely.
Kassam is asking what he believes to be a fair sum, and he will not shift from that, especially after the rather silly comment from Ian lenagan that he agrees with the price has destroyed his negotiating position. That is unless Kassam gets fed up with the ongoing losses, which be eating away at him.
Whilst making significant losses, Stadco clearly isn't worth £13m. Its worth maybe £9m debt free (by which I mean no outstanding capital loans, mortgages or directors loans, and I suspect Ian Lenagan now realises this.